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LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5) 100% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?2%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

Team Liquid’s regular-season meeting with Sentinels comes into view with the market sitting at a full **100% YES**, but the historical picture is not one-sided. The teams split their 2026 series record in a way that shows both volatility and ceiling: Sentinels beat Team Liquid 2-1 in the LCS Lock-In, while Team Liquid answered with a 2-1 win in spring regular season play, a match in which Liquid closed out the decider after dropping game two.[3][15] That prior spring result also came on the back of a four-match winning streak for Team Liquid, which underlines why current form has tended to matter more than the head-to-head label alone.[1]

For traders, the main catalysts are whether the listed August 2 fixture is played as scheduled and whether either side changes line-up or preparation status before lock-in. The market rules mean a cancellation, tie, or delay beyond seven days would push settlement to 50-50, so any official schedule revision matters directly.[Market description] Team Liquid’s recent results suggest a stronger baseline: the team has been credited with a 60% win rate over the recent half-year and has shown stage-level dominance in some wins, although it has also suffered heavy losses against top opposition.[2] Sentinels have been described as a more swingy side, with a slightly positive recent half-year win rate but a longer competitive lay-off since May, which could affect sharpness if no new official matches or roster notes emerge before the series.[2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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