Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
Market context
Team Solid face Vivo Keyd Stars Academy in a best-of-one regular-season League of Legends match, and the crowd’s 100% YES price implies a near certainty that Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win. That reading is consistent with the broader match history: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy beat Team Solid 1-0 in their only previous meeting in April, while multiple preview pages again list Vivo Keyd Stars Academy as the clear favourite on strength of recent form and ranking.[3][5][6][15]
The historical frame is fairly one-sided. Team Solid have been described as struggling badly in recent months, with some preview data showing long losing streaks and a very low win rate, while Vivo Keyd Stars Academy have been on a much stronger run and have generally converted more of their recent bo1s.[3][6][10][11] In price terms, a 100% implied probability leaves little room for variance, but bo1 League games can still turn on draft, early objective swings, or one team fielding a changed lineup; the main historical risk is that the market may be pricing the stronger side as if the result is almost predetermined.
For traders, the key catalysts are whether the scheduled fixture is actually played on time, and whether either side posts late roster or scheduling changes before the settlement window closes.[1][7][13] The market rules also matter: if the game is not played at all, is tied, or slips more than seven days beyond the scheduled date without a winner, it resolves 50-50 rather than to a team.[13] Recent listings still showed the match as scheduled, with no public evidence in the supplied sources of a cancelled start, but a late no-show, forfeiture, or official delay would be the main event risk to the current price.[1][7][12][13]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade LoL: Team Solid vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - C… on Sport Prediction
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