Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants | 100% Atlanta Braves | 0% San Francisco Giants |
| NRFI | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 0% San Francisco Giants | 100% Atlanta Braves |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 100% Atlanta Braves | 0% San Francisco Giants |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% San Francisco Giants | 100% Atlanta Braves |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 0% Atlanta Braves | 100% San Francisco Giants |
Market context
The upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for 26 June at 10:15pm ET, pits a first-place NL East team against a struggling NL West squad. The Braves, despite a 46-27 record and top standing, have suffered a recent three-game losing streak and six losses in seven contests, exposing offensive and bullpen frailties compounded by key injuries to Ronald Acuña Jr. and Michael Harris II [1]. The Giants, at 31-43, have generated momentum through offensive surges, including a doubleheader sweep in Atlanta with multi-homer innings from Willy Adames, Luis Arraez, and Bryce Eldridge, alongside improved pitching [1].
Historically, such 100% crowd-implied probabilities in MLB often misfire when a favourite’s recent form deteriorates sharply, as seen when the Giants beat Atlanta 7-2 in their most recent meeting, giving them psychological leverage against a vulnerable Braves lineup [5]. Comparable cases show that even dominant teams can collapse when key absences persist and bullpen vulnerabilities are exposed, making the current certainty appear fragile despite the Braves’ superior overall standing [1].
Traders should monitor announcements regarding Acuña Jr.’s return status and any pitching rotation changes, particularly Reynaldo López’s return to the rotation, which could alter the Giants’ offensive advantage [7]. The series finale was postponed due to weather and rescheduled for August, so traders must watch for official confirmations on the game’s completion date and potential make-up scenarios [1]. Recent beat reports from ESPN highlight the Giants’ power-hitting potential as a critical dependency against the Braves’ weakened depth [2].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $958K.
Methodology
This page reviews Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants on Sport Prediction
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