Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Detroit Tigers travel to Baltimore on 24 May for a day game against the Orioles, with the settlement window extending to 31 May to accommodate any postponements. The 0% implied probability suggests either a technical glitch in the market's initialisation or an expectation of cancellation, though no weather alerts or scheduling disruptions have been announced for that date.

Detroit enters May having struggled with inconsistent pitching depth and a middle-order slump that cost them several winnable contests in April. The Orioles, conversely, have maintained competitive form through early May, with their bullpen performing above preseason expectations. Recent roster moves—including Baltimore's mid-rotation reinforcement in late April—have stabilised their starting rotation, whereas the Tigers' injury situation in their catching corps remains unresolved. The Tigers' last five games against AL East opponents yielded a 1–4 record, per MLB.com's season tracker.

Traders should monitor Detroit's lineup availability through the settlement window, particularly whether their designated hitter returns from a lower-body strain expected to sideline him through late May. Baltimore's starting pitcher assignment for this fixture will be confirmed 48 hours prior; if they deploy their ace rather than a mid-tier starter, the probability shift would be material. Weather forecasts for Baltimore on 24 May should be checked by 22 May, as spring thunderstorms occasionally force postponements in the region. Any roster transactions either club announces between now and game time—trades, call-ups, or injury updates—will likely move the market from its current extreme position.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.