New York Yankees vs. Athletics

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Yankees travel to Oakland on 31 May for a day game against the Athletics, with settlement contingent on final official MLB statistics. The 92% implied probability reflects the substantial gap in current form between the two franchises. New York sits atop the AL East with a winning record and has maintained offensive consistency through May, whilst Oakland remains in the lower half of the AL West with a sub-.500 record and limited run production.

Historical matchups between these sides over the past three seasons show the Yankees winning roughly 60% of regular-season contests, though Oakland has occasionally secured victories in low-scoring affairs. The current probability discount—8% for the Athletics—aligns with typical underdogs facing stronger teams in neutral circumstances rather than representing a dramatic outlier. Day games at the Oakland Coliseum have historically favoured neither side disproportionately, though the Yankees' superior pitching depth gives them an edge in such fixtures.

Traders should monitor lineup confirmations released 24 hours before first pitch, particularly any late absences among New York's core hitters. The Athletics' recent bullpen strain—documented by MLB.com's beat coverage—could prove decisive if the game remains close into late innings. Weather conditions at the Coliseum on game day may also influence scoring potential; warm, dry conditions typically favour hitters. Any postponement would extend the settlement window beyond the stated deadline, requiring resolution once the rescheduled contest concludes.

Methodology

This page reviews New York Yankees vs. Athletics across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.