Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
41% | 59% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
41% | 59% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | 41% Tampa Bay Rays | 60% Los Angeles Dodgers |
| NRFI | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% Los Angeles Dodgers | 59% Tampa Bay Rays |
| O/U 7.5 | 46% Over | 55% Under |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50% Tampa Bay Rays | 50% Los Angeles Dodgers |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 51% Los Angeles Dodgers | 49% Tampa Bay Rays |
Market context
Market consensus: 41% chance of tampa bay rays vs. los angeles dodgers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for June 17 at 3:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $157K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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