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Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal - More Markets

How the sports market is pricing "Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal - More Markets" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 100% Nashville SC O/U 0.5 100% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $83K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
Nashville SC O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Nashville SC (-1.5)0%
CF Montréal (-1.5)0%
Nashville SC (-2.5)0%
CF Montréal (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Nashville SC O/U 1.50%
Nashville SC O/U 2.50%
CF Montréal O/U 0.50%
CF Montréal O/U 1.50%
CF Montréal O/U 2.50%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Nashville SC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
CF Montréal 1st Half O/U 0.50%
CF Montréal 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Nashville SC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
CF Montréal 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
CF Montréal 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Nashville SC’s meeting with CF Montréal at GEODIS Park has already been played, and the match finished 1-0 to Nashville.[3] That result matters for reading the market’s pre-match **0% YES** price on “More markets”, because it suggests the contract had become effectively untradeable once the game state and line-up information had crystallised, rather than reflecting a live 50-50 pre-kickoff balance.[3]

The historical frame is one-sided enough to justify a heavy lean towards Nashville. Flashscore’s head-to-head notes say Montréal have failed to score in both halves in each of the last eight league meetings with Nashville, and have not reached three goals in any of those eight games.[1] Soccerway’s average-odds snapshot also had Nashville as the clear favourite before kick-off, with a 51% win chance versus 16% for Montréal and 33% for the draw, which is consistent with a market expecting Nashville to control the matchup.[2]

For traders, the main catalysts would have been team-sheet confirmation, late injury news and any load-management decisions around Nashville’s schedule, because those are the variables most likely to affect secondary markets such as cards, corners, both teams to score and goal totals. In the absence of a cited beat report in the available results, the most reliable practical signal is the pre-match pricing split and the live head-to-head pattern: Montréal’s scoring ceiling in this fixture has been persistently low, so any late YES bid would have depended on an unexpected attacking selection or a Nashville absentee list that materially weakened their structure.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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