Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 96% |
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 94% |
| O/U 208.5 | 94% |
| O/U 210.5 | 92% |
| O/U 212.5 | 90% |
| O/U 214.5 | 87% |
| 76ers O/U 112.5 | 86% |
| O/U 216.5 | 84% |
| O/U 218.5 | 83% |
| Bucks O/U 100.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 80% |
| O/U 220.5 | 78% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 75% |
| Bucks O/U 102.5 | 75% |
| O/U 222.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 73% |
| 76ers O/U 116.5 | 73% |
| O/U 224.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 70% |
| Bucks O/U 104.5 | 70% |
| O/U 226.5 | 68% |
| 76ers O/U 118.5 | 68% |
| Spread -7.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 65% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 64% |
| Spread -8.5 | 63% |
| O/U 228.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 63% |
| Bucks O/U 106.5 | 63% |
| 76ers O/U 120.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 60% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| Spread -10.5 | 58% |
| O/U 230.5 | 57% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 56% |
| O/U 232.5 | 55% |
| Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| 76ers O/U 122.5 | 55% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 54% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 53% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Spread -12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Bucks O/U 110.5 | 51% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| O/U 234.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 98.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers O/U 136.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 46% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| O/U 236.5 | 45% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Spread -15.5 | 41% |
| O/U 238.5 | 41% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 40% |
| Spread -16.5 | 39% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Bucks O/U 114.5 | 39% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| O/U 240.5 | 37% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 34% |
| Bucks O/U 116.5 | 34% |
| Spread -18.5 | 33% |
| O/U 242.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5 | 32% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 65.5 | 32% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| 76ers O/U 130.5 | 30% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 29% |
| O/U 244.5 | 28% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Bucks O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| O/U 246.5 | 26% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 67.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| 76ers O/U 132.5 | 24% |
| Spread -22.5 | 23% |
| O/U 248.5 | 23% |
| 1H Moneyline | 23% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 23% |
| Bucks O/U 120.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 22% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| O/U 250.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Bucks O/U 122.5 | 18% |
| 76ers O/U 134.5 | 18% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 17% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 16% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 16% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 14% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Spread -28.5 | 12% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -38.5 | 4% |
| Spread -40.5 | 4% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 2% |
Market context
Bucks vs. 76ers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 16% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $134K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Bucks vs. 76ers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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