Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 209.5 | 79% |
| O/U 212.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 73% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 70% |
| O/U 215.5 | 68% |
| O/U 218.5 | 62% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 62% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| O/U 220.5 | 57% |
| O/U 221.5 | 56% |
| O/U 222.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 223.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 224.5 | 48% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| O/U 225.5 | 46% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | 45% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 226.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 42% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 228.5 | 40% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5 | 36% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 231.5 | 34% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 25.5 | 33% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| O/U 234.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 27% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 237.5 | 23% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 23% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 15% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 79% probability to knicks vs. celtics. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postpo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $77K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Knicks vs. Celtics. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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