Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 93% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 87% |
| O/U 32.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 78% |
| 2H O/U 15.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| O/U 36.5 | 74% |
| Patriots O/U 14.5 | 74% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 73% |
| Seahawks O/U 18.5 | 71% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 69% |
| O/U 38.5 | 67% |
| Patriots 2H O/U 7.5 | 67% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 67% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 10.5 | 65% |
| O/U 40.5 | 63% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 7.5 | 62% |
| Patriots O/U 17.5 | 61% |
| O/U 41.5 | 60% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| Seahawks O/U 21.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 57% |
| Patriots 2H O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 42.5 | 56% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Seahawks Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| O/U 43.5 | 54% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 12.5 | 54% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Patriots O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Patriots Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Seahawks Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 12.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 46% |
| Patriots 2H O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| O/U 46.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Seahawks 2H O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Seahawks O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| O/U 47.5 | 41% |
| 2H Moneyline | 41% |
| 1H Moneyline | 41% |
| Patriots Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks | 38% |
| O/U 48.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 36% |
| Patriots 1H O/U 11.5 | 36% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown | 36% |
| A.J. Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 36% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 36% |
| Patriots O/U 23.5 | 35% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Seahawks 1H O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown | 35% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| Seahawks O/U 27.5 | 33% |
| O/U 50.5 | 32% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| Patriots O/U 26.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Seahawks O/U 30.5 | 29% |
| O/U 58.5 | 27% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 7-13 | 27% |
| O/U 60.5 | 25% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 14-20 | 24% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 21+ | 24% |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 | 24% |
| O/U 52.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 7-12 | 23% |
| Jadarian Price: Anytime Touchdown | 23% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 13-18 | 21% |
| George Holani: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 19-24 | 19% |
| Exact Margin: Seahawks by 1-6 | 19% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 25+ | 18% |
| O/U 56.5 | 17% |
| Exact Margin: Patriots by 1-6 | 16% |
| Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown | 16% |
| AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 14% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| O/U 64.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2+ TD | 9% |
| Jadarian Price 2+ TD | 8% |
| TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Rhamondre Stevenson 2+ TD | 6% |
| A.J. Brown 2+ TD | 6% |
| Cooper Kupp 2+ TD | 5% |
| George Holani 2+ TD | 5% |
| Rashid Shaheed 2+ TD | 3% |
| AJ Barner 2+ TD | 3% |
| Romeo Doubs 2+ TD | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
| TreVeyon Henderson 2+ TD | 2% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to patriots vs. seahawks. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 9 at 8:20PM ET: If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If Seahawks wins, the market will resolve to "Seahawks". If the game is postp…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $120K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Patriots vs. Seahawks. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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