Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pogon Szczecin O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Pogon Szczecin O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Pogon Szczecin 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow (-1.5) | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow (-2.5) | 0% |
| Pogon Szczecin (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Pogon Szczecin O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Pogon Szczecin 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KS Cracovia Krakow 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Cracovia host Pogoń Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa with the market currently assigning a 0% chance to the “more markets” position. The most recent head-to-head between the sides finished 1-1 in April, and the broader record is fairly balanced, with Pogoń holding a narrow edge in wins across 29 meetings, which is why a zero reading is hard to square with the fixture history alone.[4][16]
Recent form is not especially explosive on either side. Cracovia drew 0-0 at Lech Poznań in their last league match, while Pogoń opened with a 0-1 home loss to Legia Warszawa; Sky Sports also lists Cracovia’s recent run as heavy on draws and Pogoń’s as mixed, with only modest goal production in both cases.[3][7] For a trader, that means the main read-through is whether this becomes another low-margin game or whether line-up news shifts it towards a more open match than the market implies.[7][11]
The key catalysts are likely to be team news close to kick-off, especially any late absences in attacking roles or changes from the previous round’s starting elevens, because both clubs have already shown limited scoring consistency in the early season sample.[1][2][5] No beat-reporter injury bulletin was visible in the available results, so the most relevant checks are the official line-ups, late squad updates, and whether either side rotates after their opening league fixture, as that will matter more than the standings at this stage.[1][2][3]
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin - More Markets on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →