Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
28% | 72% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
28% | 72% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| US Lecce (-1.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Genoa CFC (-1.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| US Lecce (-2.5) | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Genoa CFC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 48% NO |
Market context
Lecce travel to Genoa on 24 May for a Serie A fixture with significant relegation implications for both clubs. The match falls in the final week of the 2025–26 season, when points density is highest and survival scenarios crystallise. Lecce have occupied lower-table positions throughout the campaign, whilst Genoa have similarly struggled to distance themselves from the drop zone. The 34% implied probability for additional markets suggests traders expect moderate volatility in pricing or settlement conditions around this fixture.
Historical precedent shows that late-season Serie A matches between struggling sides frequently generate sharp line movements as injury reports and team news emerge in the 48 hours before kick-off. When both clubs face genuine survival pressure, absences of key defenders or attacking players shift expected goal differentials noticeably. Lecce's defensive record and Genoa's recent form under their current coaching setup will be critical reference points; teams fighting relegation often show marked performance swings depending on whether they enter a match with mathematical hope or mathematical elimination already determined.
Traders should monitor official team sheets released on 23 May, as well as any late tactical announcements from either manager. Genoa's injury status—particularly among their starting eleven—typically emerges via Corriere della Sera or Sky Italia in the 24 hours preceding the match. Lecce's recent results against direct rivals will inform whether they arrive in momentum or desperation. Settlement window closure at 13:00 GMT on match day means live-trading opportunities will be compressed; early confirmation of lineups and weather conditions should be prioritised by active traders.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $176K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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