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AIK vs. Orgryte IS - More Markets

"AIK vs. Orgryte IS - More Markets" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Orgryte IS (-1.5) 100% Orgryte IS (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $146K Liquidity: $808K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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AIK vs. Orgryte IS - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Orgryte IS (-1.5)100%
Orgryte IS (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Orgryte IS O/U 0.5100%
Orgryte IS O/U 1.5100%
Orgryte IS O/U 2.5100%
Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Orgryte IS 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
AIK (-1.5)0%
AIK (-2.5)0%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
AIK O/U 0.50%
AIK O/U 1.50%
AIK O/U 2.50%
AIK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
AIK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
AIK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
AIK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Orgryte IS 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

AIK host Orgryte IS at Strawberry Arena in an Allsvenskan fixture that has been priced as a one-sided contest, with the crowd giving the **0% YES** side no credit at all. That is broadly consistent with pre-match models and bookmaker previews pointing towards an AIK win, but the market level also reflects how “more markets” often depend on secondary outcomes such as cards, corners, both teams to score, or exact goal counts rather than the headline result alone.[2][3][9]

Historically, the read-through on these sub-markets is strongest when one side brings current momentum and the other arrives with a poor away record. AIK came in on a run of four straight wins in one preview set, while Orgryte had lost their previous six away games, a split that usually pushes derivative markets towards the home side and away from conservative yes positions on upset-style outcomes.[1][3] AIK were also listed as having drawn 0-0 at Häcken in their most recent match, which keeps attention on whether their attack converts territorial control into goals rather than merely possession.[1]

The main catalysts are team news and any late line-up confirmations, because the market is sensitive to whether AIK rotate after a congested schedule or keep the first-choice attack intact. Previews published on matchday pointed to AIK’s 4-3-1-2 shape and Orgryte’s 3-4-3, which matters for corners, booking patterns, and whether the game opens up after half-time.[1][7] Traders should also watch for beat-level injury or suspension updates before kick-off, since a single missing forward or full-back can materially shift these side markets more than the match-winner price itself.[1][9]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for AIK vs. Orgryte IS - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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