Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Draw | 100% |
| Orgryte IS | 0% |
| Djurgardens IF | 0% |
Market context
An Allsvenskan fixture at Gamla Ullevi on Monday, 20 July 2026 saw Örgryte IS and Djurgårdens IF play out a 0–0 draw, confirming the heavy underdog status of the hosts despite their recent victory [3][6]. The 0% crowd-implied probability for a specific outcome aligns with bookmaker consensus that Djurgårdens are the clear favourites, priced at 1.39 compared to Örgryte’s 6.75, reflecting the visitors’ superior away record and Örgryte’s defensive fragility [6]. Historical data and pre-match splits consistently lean toward a Djurgårdens win (58% probability), with the most likely scoreline predicted as 1–2 or 1–3, underscoring why the market dismisses alternative outcomes [2][6][7].
Traders should monitor post-match squad reports for Djurgårdens, particularly regarding striker Lien, who is in strong form and a key catalyst for goals [6]. With over 2.5 goals landing in Örgryte’s last three league games and Djurgårdens averaging high corner counts, any late injury news or tactical shifts could rapidly alter settlement probabilities [6]. The match’s 0–0 result suggests defensive resilience may have been overestimated by bookmakers, but the underlying form still favours the visitors; watch for confirmation of Djurgårdens’ next fixture schedule to assess fatigue risks before the settlement window closes on 20 July [1][6].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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