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PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets

How the sports market is pricing "PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Team to Advance 100% PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5) 0% Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5) 0% PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5) 0% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $914K Closes: 30 Jul 2026
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PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Team to Advance100%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-1.5)0%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-1.5)0%
PFK CSKA Sofia (-2.5)0%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 1.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia O/U 2.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
PFK CSKA Sofia 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

PFK CSKA Sofia host Qarabağ Ağdam FK in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League qualifier in Sofia, with the tie scheduled for 30 July at Stadion Vasil Levski.[2][3] The crowd-implied **0% YES** reads as a very strong lean against any further “more markets” outcome, which is consistent with a first leg that finished 0-0 in Baku and left the tie finely balanced rather than open.[8][13]

Historically, this pairing has tended to stay tight rather than explosive: Qarabağ beat CSKA Sofia 1-0 in a 2023 friendly and 1-0 again in 2021, while the 2026 qualifier first leg ended scoreless.[17][18] Broad form data also points to competitive but not chaotic runs, with both sides entering the tie off mixed stretches and Qarabağ showing slightly stronger recent attacking output in aggregate European and domestic samples.[5][10][15]

For traders, the main catalysts are team sheets, late injury news, and whether either side rotates after the first-leg stalemate. Qarabağ’s recent Europa League results included a 3-0 win over Vestri, while CSKA Sofia had a scoreless domestic draw and a narrow European win in their recent run, so any absence in attack or a conservative selection could matter more than headline form.[5][10] The most useful live check is the official UEFA match listing and confirmed line-ups close to kick-off, because those will settle whether this remains a low-event second leg or turns on an early goal.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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