When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welt…

Name: UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Start: 2026-05-18T03:35:29.959Z
End: 2026-07-12T03:59:59.999Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	71%	29%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	71%	29%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 0.5 Rounds	71%
Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor	65%
Holloway to win by KO/TKO?	53%
Fight won by KO/TKO?	53%
O/U 1.5 Rounds	51%
O/U 3.5 Rounds	45%
O/U 4.5 Rounds	43%
McGregor to win by KO/TKO?	30%
Fight to Go the Distance?	29%
O/U 2.5 Rounds	29%
Fight won by submission?	12%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 71% probability to ufc 329: max holloway vs. conor mcgregor (welterweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It w…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 71% for "UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 71% Other 29%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $497K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?: Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?: Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?: This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

David ParkSports Data Analystand

Oliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

Trade UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweig… on Sport Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweig… on Sport Prediction

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