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UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

How the sports market is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% O/U 2.5 Rounds 100% Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. 74% Volume: $691K Liquidity: $18K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr.74%
Fight to Go the Distance?74%
Decision or Draw67%
Fight won by decision?64%
Fight won by KO/TKO?55%
O/U 3.5 Rounds50%
O/U 4.5 Rounds50%
Ends before Round 5?25%
Barcelos in Round 419%
Barcelos in Round 519%
Rosas Jr. in Round 417%
Barcelos to win by KO/TKO?14%
Rosas Jr. to win by KO/TKO?13%
Fight won by submission?13%
Rosas Jr. in Round 512%
Ends before Round 2?5%
Ends before Round 3?5%
Ends before Round 4?5%
Barcelos in Round 15%
Barcelos in Round 25%
Barcelos in Round 35%
Rosas Jr. in Round 15%
Rosas Jr. in Round 25%
Rosas Jr. in Round 35%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to "Raoni Barcelos" if Raoni Barcelos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Raul Rosas Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $691K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Related Topics

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