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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Sports snapshot for "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) 100% Volume: $281K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-8.5) vs XLG Gaming (+8.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-9.5) vs XLG Gaming (+9.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-11.5) vs XLG Gaming (+11.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs XLG Gaming (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-12.5) vs XLG Gaming (+12.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs XLG Gaming (+5.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-7.5) vs XLG Gaming (+7.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: gentle mates vs xlg gaming (bo3) - esports world cup group c. This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and XLG Gaming in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 3 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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