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Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the sports market is pricing "Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Map 1 Winner 99% Match Winner 89% Map 2 Winner 70% Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 66% Volume: $194K Liquidity: $349K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner99%
Match Winner89%
Map 2 Winner70%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)66%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.565%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)60%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.551%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-8.5) vs FURIA Esports (+8.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-9.5) vs FURIA Esports (+9.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)48%
O/U 2.5 Games32%

Market context

Market consensus: 99% chance of valorant: leviatán esports vs furia esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Leviatán Esports and FURIA Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 16 at 5:00PM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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