Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Team Heretics |
| Match Winner | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) | 0% Leviatán Esports | 100% Team Heretics |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5) | 100% Leviatán Esports | 0% Team Heretics |
Market context
Leviatán Esports and Team Heretics will contest a lower bracket round one match at VCT Masters London on 14 June, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the tournament. The best-of-three format gives either team a path back into contention after group stage results determined seeding. Heretics enter as the higher seed, having finished ahead of Leviatán in their respective groups, though both clubs qualified for playoffs.
The 100% crowd probability reflects near-certainty that this match will be played as scheduled. Lower bracket matches at VCT events rarely face cancellation or extended delays; Riot Games maintains strict scheduling protocols for international tournaments. Historical precedent from prior Masters events shows that even matches involving teams with travel complications or roster disruptions proceed on schedule. The only realistic path to a 50-50 resolution would be a catastrophic circumstance—illness affecting multiple players, venue access issues, or force majeure—rather than standard competitive uncertainty.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and coaching updates in the week preceding 14 June. Heretics have experienced mid-season adjustments to their support structure, whilst Leviatán's recent form in regional competition provides the primary catalyst for assessing relative momentum. Fixture congestion across VCT regions occasionally produces fatigue factors; neither team's schedule immediately preceding London has been publicly flagged as unusually demanding. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on match day, allowing sufficient time for result confirmation before resolution.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - … on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →