When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

52% odds: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces

Name: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
Start: 2026-06-29T04:07:41.321Z
End: 2026-07-13T01:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	52%	48%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	52%	48%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Spread -4.5	52%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 21.5	50%
O/U 180.5	49%
Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5	48%
Spread -5.5	48%
O/U 181.5	47%
O/U 182.5	45%
Spread -6.5	43%
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces	36%
Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 2.5	36%
Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5	35%
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5	35%
Jackie Young: Points O/U 16.5	34%
Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5	34%
A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5	33%
Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.5	33%
Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 16.5	31%
A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5	30%
Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 22.5	30%
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 15.5	28%
Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5	28%
Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5	28%
Caitlin Clark: Rebounds O/U 3.5	26%
Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 7.5	26%
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 6.5	24%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, indiana fever vs. las vegas aces stands at 52% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 12 at 9:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -4.5 at 52% for "Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces".

Spread -4.5 52% Other 48%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $65K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?: Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?: Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?: Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?: Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?: This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.

David ParkSports Data Analystand

Oliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces on Sport Prediction

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