Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a WNBA match on 22 June at 7:30PM ET between the Toronto Tempo and the Atlanta Dream, where a Tempo victory resolves the market to "Toronto Tempo" and a Dream win to "Atlanta Dream". Current crowd-implied probability sits at 7% YES for the Tempo, reflecting a stark historical pattern: just eight days prior, on 14 June, the Dream crushed the Tempo 102–77, with Angel Reese posting 15 points and 17 rebounds, including a career-high 11 offensive rebounds[1][3]. In comparable cases where a team loses by 25 points with such dominant rebounding metrics, the underdog’s win probability in the immediate rematch rarely exceeds 10%, as the psychological and tactical gap remains entrenched[1].

Traders should monitor two key catalysts before the settlement window closes on 22 June at 23:30 UTC. First, any announcement regarding key absences for the Tempo, particularly if their top rebounder is unavailable, would further depress their chances[1]. Second, check for coaching adjustments from the Dream’s bench, as Allisha Gray’s 26-point performance in the prior fixture suggests she remains the primary offensive engine[2]. A recent beat-reporter note from ESPN confirms the Dream’s 9–4 record and their strong away form (5–2), reinforcing their status as the clear favourite[1]. No major schedule changes or postponements have been reported, so the game is expected to proceed as planned[7].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.