Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to warsaw: carol young suh lee vs aliona falei. This market refers to the tennis match between Carol Young Suh Lee and Aliona Falei in the Warsaw, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carol Young Suh L…
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei on Sport Prediction
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