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Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens

How the sports market is pricing "Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 8.5 67% Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens 62% Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.5 59% Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 1 Winner 59% Volume: $149K Liquidity: $353K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
67% 33% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
67% 33% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 8.567%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens62%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 21.559%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 1 Winner59%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 2 Winner58%
Completed Match52%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 22.551%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Match O/U 23.544%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set Handicap +/-1.542%
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens Set 1 O/U 10.535%

Market context

Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens — current market-implied probability: 67%. This market refers to the tennis match between Linda Noskova and Elise Mertens in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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