Philadelphia: Simona Waltert vs Fiona Crawley

Platform comparison

Market context

Philadelphia’s opening-round match between Simona Waltert and Fiona Crawley was scheduled for 24 August at the Philly event, with Waltert entered as the higher-ranked player and Crawley the lower-ranked home wildcard-type profile in the draw listings.[1][2][4] The market’s 0% YES price is consistent with a match that appears to have already been played or progressed on the day, rather than an unresolved pre-match spot.[1][2]

Waltert comes in with the stronger 2026 body of results and a ranking edge, having taken wins on hard courts and reached the second round in Cincinnati shortly before Philadelphia, while Crawley’s recent route has been more mixed but includes a deeper run through lower-tier events and qualifiers.[6][7][13][14] In comparable WTA 125 first-round matches, the favourite’s shorter price usually reflects ranking and level rather than a guarantee, because upset risk remains real on hard courts where short-format sets can swing quickly.[12][15]

What matters now is whether the match has been completed and formally recorded before the settlement deadline, or whether there is any administrative delay, retirement, suspension, or withdrawal that could leave the result unsettled.[1][4] Crawley’s match page and live listings point to an in-play or completed contest on 24 August, while Waltert’s event record and recent form suggest no obvious injury note or coaching disruption is driving the price by itself.[1][5][6] If the result is not officially confirmed in time, the market can still revert to the event’s fallback rules.[4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Philadelphia: Simona Waltert vs Fiona Crawley. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

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