Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Machida Zelvia host Urawa Red Diamonds in the J1 League on 22 May, with the market on “more markets” effectively hinging on whether the match produces enough separate in-play or full-time outcomes to settle additional listed options. Machida come in from the stronger league position, sitting 3rd, while Urawa are 6th, and the teams already met on 22 March, when Machida won 2-1 away. That result matters because it shows a tight, competitive fixture rather than a one-sided pairing, but it is also a small sample: the historical record between these sides is limited and does not strongly support a repeatable pattern for ancillary markets.
The closest comparable evidence is the recent scoring profile, which points to relatively controlled totals rather than chaos. ESPN’s pre-match data for this fixture showed Machida at 8-8-2 with 37 points and Urawa at 7-4-7 with 25, while third-party preview material highlighted under 2.5 goals as the main angle. Urawa’s official site listed a 0-1 defeat at Machida in their recent head-to-head context, reinforcing that these meetings have recently been decided by narrow margins. For traders, the main catalysts are late team news and the confirmed line-ups, especially any rotation after the clubs’ recent run of league and cup fixtures. If either side rests key creators or forwards, the case for broader market activity weakens further; if both name first-choice attacks, the chance of a fuller range of settled outcomes rises.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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