Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Ulsan HD FC | 97% |
| Draw | 2% |
| FC Anyang | 0% |
Market context
Ulsan HD FC meet FC Anyang in a K-League fixture with the market heavily leaning to **YES** at 97%, but the football data behind that price is more mixed than the headline suggests. The two clubs have played only a small number of recent head-to-heads, with Ulsan and Anyang splitting wins across the sample and several tight scorelines, including a 0-0 and a 1-1 among the recent meetings referenced by match databases.[1][12][15]
That history matters because Anyang have already shown they can trouble Ulsan, including a 1-0 win in Ulsan’s first-division context and a 3-1 victory in the 2025 relegation round, while Ulsan’s broader recent form has been steadier than Anyang’s overall league run.[5][14][16] In the latest form snapshots, Ulsan are shown with a stronger points return and a positive goal difference, whereas Anyang sit lower with a more modest recent record, which is the main reason the market is pricing a near-certainty rather than a coin-flip.[3][5]
For traders, the key catalysts are late team news, especially any confirmation of starting forwards or defensive absences, because this fixture has often been shaped by narrow margins rather than open scoring.[2][6][15] Ulsan’s last reported league sequence included a 3-1 away win, and Anyang’s recent away run has been described as strong, so line-up stability and whether either side rotates after a busy schedule will matter more than the raw 97% crowd number.[15]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $154K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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