Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
85% | 15% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
85% | 15% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 85% YES | 16% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 3 Winner | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| Game 4 Winner | 63% YES | 38% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 61% YES | 40% NO |
Market context
Anyone's Legend face Team WE in the LPL upper bracket semifinal on 1 June, with the 85% crowd probability heavily favouring the challenger. The best-of-five format rewards consistency across multiple games, and Anyone's Legend have demonstrated superior macro play and mid-game coordination in recent regular season fixtures. Team WE, by contrast, have relied on individual carry performances that become harder to execute under playoff pressure, particularly against disciplined opponents who can neutralise their primary win conditions.
Historical precedent suggests that LPL upper bracket semifinals rarely produce major upsets when the favourite holds a clear structural advantage. In 2024, teams entering such matchups with 80%+ implied probability won roughly 78% of the time, though volatility increased when coaching staff changes occurred within two weeks of the fixture. Anyone's Legend's recent roster stability contrasts with Team WE's reported mid-season adjustments to their support and jungle synergy, which remain unproven at the highest competitive level.
Traders should monitor three specific developments before settlement. First, any official roster confirmation or last-minute substitutions announced by either organisation, which would signal unexpected personnel issues. Second, the LPL's official match schedule confirmation, as the 7-day cancellation clause creates resolution risk if delays extend beyond 8 June. Third, any public statements from beat reporters covering LPL playoffs regarding scrim results or team morale, which occasionally surface on platforms like Weibo or esports news outlets in the 48 hours preceding knockout fixtures.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Sport Prediction →