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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Sports snapshot for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 77% O/U 3.5 Games 73% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? 64% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 62% Volume: $299K Liquidity: $398K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon77%
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Odd/Even Total Kills56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Odd/Even Total Kills55%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Game 4 Winner49%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Game 1 Winner48%
Game 2 Winner48%
Game 3 Winner48%
Match Winner46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Any Player Quadra Kill39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
O/U 4.5 Games37%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)37%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors37%
Any Player Penta Kill37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?36%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors35%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?34%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Quadra Kill21%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)18%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors11%
Any Player Penta Kill6%

Market context

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 77%. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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