LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

KT Rolster and T1 are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three fixture during the LCK's opening rounds on 28 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. This matchup represents one of the league's marquee rivalries, with both organisations fielding rosters capable of contending for the regional title. The 44% implied probability for a KT victory reflects moderate underdog positioning against T1, historically the LCK's most consistent performer.

T1's recent trajectory and roster stability form the baseline for current pricing. The organisation has maintained continuity in its core lineup whilst KT has undergone mid-season adjustments to coaching and player roles. T1 typically enters early-season fixtures with stronger preparation depth and institutional knowledge of meta shifts. However, KT's recent scrim results and off-season recruitment—particularly any acquisitions targeting mid or jungle roles—could materially shift expected performance. Traders should monitor official LCK roster announcements and any coaching staff confirmations through the league's website through late May.

Operational risks warrant attention given the settlement window's tight closure at 16:00 UTC on match day. Fixture delays, technical issues during broadcast, or unexpected player absences could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. The best-of-three format itself introduces variance; a single upset in game one carries disproportionate weight in determining series outcome. Recent LCK scheduling has generally held to announced times, though regional internet infrastructure disruptions remain a low-probability factor affecting Korean esports fixtures.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.