🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogLive odds →

LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Match Winner 76% First Blood in Game 1? 72% Game 2 Winner 67% Game 1 Winner 66% Volume: $184K Liquidity: $247K Closes: 4 Jul 2026
Open live market →
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner76%
First Blood in Game 1?72%
Game 2 Winner67%
Game 1 Winner66%
Game 3 Winner66%
O/U 3.5 Games66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon60%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)57%
Odd/Even Total Kills56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?56%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Game 4 Winner52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?42%
Any Player Quadra Kill39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor37%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor36%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors36%
Any Player Quadra Kill36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?34%
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)31%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?30%
O/U 4.5 Games28%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?28%
Any Player Penta Kill13%
Any Player Penta Kill13%
Any Player Penta Kill13%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to lol: lyon vs furia esports (bo5) - mid-season invitational playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between LYON and FURIA Esports in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 3 at 11:00PM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

Trade LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invita… on Sport Prediction

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction.

See all markets →