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LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $181K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5)0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Any Player Quadra Kill0%
Any Player Penta Kill0%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor0%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors0%
Odd/Even Total Kills0%

Market context

ROSSMANN Centaurs and E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS are due to meet in a best-of-three in Prime League 1st Division Group A, but the crowd’s 0% YES price implies the market already expects a near-certain non-standard outcome or has not been able to assign any meaningful win probability. In the recent head-to-head framing available from match records, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS have had the more reliable results overall, including a 2-0 win in April, while ROSSMANN Centaurs have been described in prior previews as entering with poor recent form and a much weaker short-term win rate.[2][7][8]

That is the key historical lens for reading this market: when these sides have been compared, the edge has usually been put on E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS because of better recent form, stronger spring results, and the ability to close out series cleanly.[7] Comparable match pages also show ROSSMANN Centaurs struggling to string together wins, with one source describing five straight defeats and only 5% wins over the last six months, while E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS were credited with a 71% monthly win rate and wins in three of their last five matches, including higher-level EMEA Masters results.[3][5][6]

For traders, the immediate watchpoints are roster confirmation, whether either team fields a substitute, and whether the fixture actually starts as scheduled, because the market rules say cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days settles 50-50. The decisive catalyst is any late announcement on the match page or organiser schedule, since a delayed start or format change matters more here than ordinary pre-match sentiment given the current 0% YES pricing and the narrow resolution window.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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