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LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Sports snapshot for "LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 63% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 56% Volume: $64K Liquidity: $411K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
Any Player Quadra Kill48%
Any Player Penta Kill48%
First Blood in Game 2?48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Game 1 Winner42%
Game 2 Winner42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?42%
Match Winner38%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)37%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor20%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors19%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 73% probability to lol: shifters vs giantx (bo3) - lec regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Shifters and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shifters" if Shifters win the m…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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