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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

"LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

Match Winner 70% Game 1 Winner 63% Game 2 Winner 63% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 55% Volume: $75K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner70%
Game 1 Winner63%
Game 2 Winner63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor48%
Any Player Penta Kill47%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)38%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?38%
First Blood in Game 2?37%
First Blood in Game 1?37%

Market context

Market consensus: 70% chance of lol: shopify rebellion vs dignitas (bo3) - lcs regular season. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and Dignitas in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 15 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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