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LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Match Winner 69% Game 1 Winner 65% Volume: $97K Liquidity: $486K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Match Winner69%
Game 1 Winner65%
Game 2 Winner65%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?59%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?56%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?45%
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?42%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors14%

Market context

The LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 22 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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