LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Liquid and Cloud9 are set to contest the League of Legends Championship Series lower bracket final on 13 June 2025, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The best-of-five match carries significant implications for both organisations' playoff trajectories, as the loser will be eliminated from title contention.

The 100% implied probability reflects the rarity of lower bracket finals in the LCS being cancelled or delayed beyond the seven-day resolution window. Historical precedent suggests that regular-season matches and playoff fixtures in North American League of Legends rarely face outright cancellation; the last significant disruption occurred in 2020 during the pandemic, when matches were postponed but ultimately completed within extended timeframes. Forfeiture is exceptionally uncommon at this competitive level. The settlement mechanism's 50-50 clause therefore functions primarily as a safeguard against extraordinary circumstances rather than a reflection of meaningful uncertainty about match completion.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and coaching staff announcements in the days preceding 13 June, particularly any last-minute substitutions or personnel changes that could affect team preparation. Injury reports or visa delays affecting international players would constitute material developments. The match's scheduling dependency on earlier playoff results means confirmation of the exact start time may shift if preceding fixtures run long; the LCS typically publishes revised schedules within 24 hours of such delays. Recent LCS communication through official channels and team social media accounts will signal any logistical complications that might threaten the match's completion within the resolution window.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?

Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.