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LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

How the sports market is pricing "LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Odd/Even Total Kills 57% Any Player Quadra Kill 52% Any Player Penta Kill 52% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 52% Volume: $192K Liquidity: $113K Closes: 1 Oct 2026
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LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
57% 43% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
57% 43% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Odd/Even Total Kills57%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors52%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5)51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Game 2 Winner49%
Match Winner48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Game 1 Winner46%
Odd/Even Total Kills41%

Market context

The LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage prediction market currently prices this outcome at 57% YES. This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between The Secret Club Esport and SU Esports in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs SU Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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