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New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

"New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies" — live sports odds and platform comparison.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 53% O/U 7.5 50% NRFI 45% Volume: $157K Liquidity: $842K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.568%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.553%
O/U 7.550%
NRFI45%
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies44%
O/U 8.542%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.540%
Spread -1.537%
Spread -1.534%
O/U 9.533%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.531%
Spread -2.527%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.524%
Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.520%
Extra Innings9%

Market context

The New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction market currently prices this outcome at 68% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 24 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the gam…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 68% for "New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $157K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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