Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Inter Miami CF will travel to Philadelphia Union on 24 May for an MLS regular-season fixture at 7:00 PM ET. The 16% implied probability reflects expectation around the specific market conditions—likely tied to match outcomes, player availability, or booking/card thresholds rather than a simple Miami victory forecast. Context for that low figure depends on the exact settlement criteria, which shapes how traders should calibrate their positions relative to recent form.

Miami enter May having secured the Supporters' Shield in 2024 but face fixture congestion and injury management under Gerardo Martino. Philadelphia, meanwhile, have cycled through managerial instability; Jim Curtin departed in December 2024, with interim arrangements in place heading into the season. Beat reporters covering the Union noted defensive vulnerabilities in pre-season, whilst Miami's midfield depth has been tested by Copa América call-ups and rotation demands. Historical precedent suggests that teams managing heavy international calendars often show inconsistency in May fixtures, particularly on the road.

Traders should monitor team sheets released 24 hours before kick-off for confirmation of Miami's availability, especially any late withdrawals for South American players. Philadelphia's defensive line-up will be critical; injuries to key centre-backs would shift the calculus significantly. Weather conditions at Subaru Park (typically mild in late May) rarely prove decisive but could affect passing accuracy. Any official league announcements regarding fixture rescheduling or venue changes would alter settlement timing, though none have been flagged as of early May.

Methodology

We track Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.