Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 221.5 | 84% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 83% |
| Mavericks O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| O/U 224.5 | 80% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 55.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 76% |
| O/U 227.5 | 75% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 73% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 71% |
| O/U 230.5 | 70% |
| Spread -1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 231.5 | 67% |
| O/U 232.5 | 66% |
| Mavericks O/U 111.5 | 66% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 65% |
| O/U 233.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 62% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 66.5 | 62% |
| O/U 234.5 | 61% |
| Spread -4.5 | 60% |
| O/U 235.5 | 59% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 57.5 | 58% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| O/U 236.5 | 57% |
| O/U 237.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 238.5 | 54% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| Mavericks O/U 115.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 53% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 52% |
| O/U 239.5 | 52% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 126.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 123.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 133.5 | 50% |
| O/U 240.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| P.J. Washington: Assists O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 44% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| O/U 243.5 | 42% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 41% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 39% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 39% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 37% |
| Spread -11.5 | 36% |
| O/U 246.5 | 36% |
| 1H Moneyline | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Mavericks O/U 121.5 | 32% |
| Pacers O/U 128.5 | 32% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 31% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks vs. Pacers | 30% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Obi Toppin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Assists O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| O/U 249.5 | 28% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5 | 27% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 26% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 25% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 24% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Mavericks O/U 125.5 | 23% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 22% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -17.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 21% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 21% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 21% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Spread -20.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 14% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
Market context
Mavericks vs. Pacers — current market-implied probability: 84%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is po…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $258K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Mavericks vs. Pacers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Mavericks vs. Pacers on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →