Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 88% |
| O/U 26.5 | 87% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 87% |
| Packers O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 27.5 | 85% |
| Packers O/U 12.5 | 85% |
| O/U 28.5 | 83% |
| Packers O/U 13.5 | 82% |
| O/U 29.5 | 80% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 80% |
| Buccaneers O/U 10.5 | 79% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| O/U 30.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| Buccaneers O/U 12.5 | 75% |
| Packers 1H O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| O/U 31.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| Packers O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| O/U 32.5 | 69% |
| Buccaneers O/U 13.5 | 68% |
| O/U 33.5 | 66% |
| O/U 34.5 | 65% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| O/U 35.5 | 62% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 62% |
| Spread -0.5 | 61% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 61% |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers | 60% |
| Packers O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| 1H Moneyline | 58% |
| Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| O/U 36.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Buccaneers O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| O/U 37.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 55% |
| O/U 38.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Packers O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 52% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Packers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Packers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 21+ | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Packers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Packers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Packers by 1-6 | 48% |
| O/U 39.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 10.5 | 46% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-6 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 40.5 | 44% |
| Buccaneers O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 43% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Packers 1H O/U 10.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| O/U 41.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 41% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| O/U 42.5 | 39% |
| Packers O/U 23.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 39% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 38% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 43.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 36% |
| Buccaneers O/U 20.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Packers 1H O/U 12.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 34% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| O/U 44.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Packers 1H O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| O/U 45.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Safety? | 29% |
| O/U 46.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Packers O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 26% |
| Buccaneers O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| O/U 47.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 13.5 | 25% |
| O/U 48.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 24% |
| Packers O/U 27.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| Packers 1H O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 20% |
| O/U 50.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| O/U 51.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 16% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| O/U 52.5 | 15% |
| Packers 1H O/U 17.5 | 15% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 16.5 | 15% |
| O/U 53.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 54.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Buccaneers O/U 26.5 | 13% |
| Packers 1H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| O/U 55.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 56.5 | 12% |
| Packers O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 17.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 11% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Buccaneers O/U 27.5 | 11% |
| O/U 57.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Packers O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers O/U 30.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 58.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Buccaneers O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| O/U 59.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Packers 1H O/U 20.5 | 8% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 60.5 | 7% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| O/U 61.5 | 4% |
| O/U 63.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| O/U 62.5 | 4% |
| O/U 64.5 | 4% |
| O/U 65.5 | 3% |
| O/U 67.5 | 3% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 3% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 91% YES probability for Packers vs. Buccaneers. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00PM ET: If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers". If the game is postp…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $849K.
Methodology
Sports-specific comparison page for Packers vs. Buccaneers. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Packers vs. Buccaneers on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →