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Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

How the sports market is pricing "Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props" right now — live quote plus platform comparison.

Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown 100% Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 97% Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 93% Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 93% Volume: $88K Liquidity: $135K Closes: 20 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Christian McCaffrey: Anytime Touchdown100%
Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.597%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 39.593%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.593%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 5.593%
George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown93%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 199.592%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 9.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 39.592%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 19.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 2.592%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 4.592%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 3.592%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 14.591%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 24.590%
George Kittle: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)88%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 249.587%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 149.586%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.582%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 39.580%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 6.579%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 21.579%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 274.578%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 174.578%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 19.576%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 79.576%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 89.576%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 29.575%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 9.575%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 39.573%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 19.571%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 4.570%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 19.568%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 59.566%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 199.564%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.564%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 19.563%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 39.560%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 14.560%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 49.560%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 299.559%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 4.554%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 5.553%
Christian McCaffrey: 2+ Touchdowns52%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 149.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 174.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 29.551%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 4.551%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 9.551%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 14.551%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 34.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 9.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 19.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 29.551%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 29.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 29.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 49.551%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 59.551%
Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 3.551%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 2.551%
Mike Evans: Longest Reception O/U 24.551%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 224.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 99.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 124.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.550%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 34.550%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 49.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 19.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 29.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 39.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 49.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 59.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 69.550%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 79.550%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 9.550%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 79.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 34.550%
Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 44.550%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 4.550%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 8.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 2.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 3.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 4.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 5.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 6.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 7.550%
Mike Evans: Receptions O/U 8.550%
Brock Purdy: 2+ Touchdowns50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: 2+ Touchdowns50%
George Kittle: Longest Reception O/U 24.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 27.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 31.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 27.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 31.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 19.550%
Brock Purdy: Passing Completions O/U 23.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 17.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 19.550%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Completions O/U 21.550%
Brock Purdy: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Chig Okonkwo: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Jayden Daniels: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Kaelon Black: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Mike Evans: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)50%
Rachaad White: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Terry McLaurin: Team First TD (Washington Commanders)50%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 24.548%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 19.548%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 59.548%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 69.546%
Christian McCaffrey: Team First TD (San Francisco 49ers)45%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 29.544%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 224.543%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 6.543%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 324.541%
Brock Purdy: Passing Attempts O/U 35.539%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.538%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 24.537%
George Kittle: 2+ Touchdowns36%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 59.535%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 29.534%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 79.534%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 49.534%
George Kittle: Receptions O/U 7.533%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 69.531%
Kaelon Black: Anytime Touchdown30%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Attempts O/U 35.530%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 249.528%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.526%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 29.526%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Rushing Yards O/U 9.525%
Jacory Croskey-Merritt: Anytime Touchdown25%
Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 349.524%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 39.524%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 89.522%
Rachaad White: Rushing Yards O/U 39.522%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 274.521%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 79.521%
Brock Purdy: Anytime Touchdown21%
Brock Purdy: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.520%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 69.520%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 109.520%
Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 39.519%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 89.518%
Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 99.518%
Chig Okonkwo: Anytime Touchdown18%
Jayden Daniels: Anytime Touchdown18%
Rachaad White: Anytime Touchdown17%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 49.516%
Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 79.516%
Christian McCaffrey: Rushing Yards O/U 99.514%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 69.514%
Kaelon Black: 2+ Touchdowns14%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 59.513%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.512%
Mike Evans: Anytime Touchdown12%
Jayden Daniels: Rushing Yards O/U 89.511%
George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 99.511%
Rachaad White: 2+ Touchdowns11%
Jayden Daniels: 2+ Touchdowns10%
Mike Evans: 2+ Touchdowns9%
Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 299.58%
Terry McLaurin: Anytime Touchdown7%
Chig Okonkwo: 2+ Touchdowns5%
Terry McLaurin: 2+ Touchdowns2%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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