Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| US Cremonese (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Como 1907 (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| US Cremonese (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Como 1907 (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Cremonese travel to Como on 24 May for a Serie A fixture with significant implications for both clubs' standing in the final weeks of the season. The 1% implied probability for "More Markets" reflects the market's expectation that additional betting options will not become available for this particular match, suggesting confidence in the current market structure or low anticipated demand for supplementary wagering lines.
Historical precedent shows that late-season Serie A matches involving mid-table or relegation-battling sides rarely attract expanded market offerings unless injury crises, managerial upheaval, or unexpected fixture congestion creates trading demand. Cremonese have struggled with consistency this season, whilst Como's recent form has been volatile. The narrow settlement window—ending just hours after kick-off—further constrains the likelihood of delayed market expansion, as traders typically require clarity on team news and final lineups before committing capital to secondary markets.
Monitoring Cremonese's injury report and any late coaching announcements will be critical in the week leading to the match. Como manager Cesc Fàbregas has rotated his squad heavily in recent weeks according to reports from Italian football correspondent Paolo Cannavaro, suggesting potential squad depth issues that could influence market appetite for granular betting options. Fixture congestion across both clubs' remaining schedule may also determine whether bookmakers judge additional markets economically viable. Any surprise managerial change or significant player suspension would likely trigger fresh market creation, though the current 1% probability suggests traders are pricing in stability.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $252K.
Methodology
We track US Cremonese vs. Como 1907 - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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