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Japan vs. Sweden

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Japan vs. Sweden" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

28% YES 72% NO Volume: $203K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 25 Jun 2026
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Japan vs. Sweden

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Sport Prediction Pick
polygram.ink
28% 72% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Sport Prediction →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
28% 72% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Sport Prediction →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Sport Prediction →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Sport Prediction →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Sport Prediction →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.

Active sub-markets

Draw28% YES72% NO
Japan48% YES53% NO
Sweden25% YES76% NO

Market context

The Japan vs. Sweden prediction market currently prices this outcome at 28% YES. This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, June 25, 2026 between Japan and Sweden.

Methodology

This page reviews Japan vs. Sweden across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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