Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Hill to win by KO/TKO? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Xiong to win by KO/TKO? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Angela Hill faces Jingnan Xiong in a women's strawweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo on 30 May 2026. Hill, a veteran of 19 UFC appearances, has competed consistently across multiple weight classes and brings experience in high-volume striking. Xiong, a Chinese fighter competing in the UFC's strawweight division, represents a less established profile in terms of promotional visibility and fight history at this tier.
The 100% implied probability reflects the absence of public injury reports, fighter withdrawals, or scheduling complications as of the market's opening. Historically, preliminary bouts at Fight Night events show cancellation rates below 3% when both fighters are confirmed fit and training camps report normal progress. The settlement window extends to 13 June, providing a two-week buffer beyond the scheduled event date to accommodate any last-minute postponements or administrative delays in official UFC scoring announcements.
Traders should monitor UFC official announcements for any fighter health updates or weight-cut complications in the final fortnight before the event. MMA media outlets including ESPN MMA and Sherdog typically report withdrawal news within 48 hours of confirmation. The preliminary card status—whether this bout remains on the main card or shifts to early prelims—can affect fight completion likelihood, though does not alter resolution criteria. Any draw or technical draw ruling would trigger the 50-50 resolution, a relatively rare outcome in strawweight matchups but possible under judges' scorecards or referee stoppages classified as technical draws.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $201K.
Methodology
This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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