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UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

Sports snapshot for "UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

O/U 1.5 Rounds 52% Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Patterson to win by KO/TKO? 51% O/U 0.5 Rounds 50% Volume: $255K Liquidity: $35K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 1.5 Rounds52%
Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
Patterson to win by KO/TKO?51%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
Fight won by submission?3%
O/U 2.5 Rounds2%
Fight to Go the Distance?1%
Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson0%
Ponzinibbio to win by KO/TKO?0%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 52% YES. This market will resolve to "Santiago Ponzinibbio" if Santiago Ponzinibbio is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sam Patterson at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 1.5 Rounds at 52% for "UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)".

O/U 1.5 Rounds 52% Other 48%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $255K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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