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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Sports snapshot for "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Dulatov to win by KO/TKO? 51% Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov 50% Fight to Go the Distance? 50% Volume: $604K Liquidity: $395K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?51%
Dulatov to win by KO/TKO?51%
Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov50%
Fight to Go the Distance?50%
Turman to win by KO/TKO?50%
Fight won by submission?50%
O/U 0.5 Rounds50%
O/U 1.5 Rounds50%
O/U 2.5 Rounds50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: wellington turman vs. islam dulatov (welterweight, main card) stands at 51% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Wellington Turman" if Wellington Turman is officially declared the winner of the fight against Islam Dulatov at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 51% for "UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 51% Other 49%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $604K.

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card). Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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