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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Sports snapshot for "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" with league data and platform comparison on a single page.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5) 100% Volume: $480K Liquidity: $470K Closes: 11 Jul 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Sport Prediction) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-5.5) vs 100 Thieves (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Match Winner35%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+7.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+4.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-4.5) vs 100 Thieves (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: 100 thieves vs nongshim redforce (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Semifinal 1 match between 100 Thieves and Nongshim RedForce in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 11 at 7:00AM ET. Thi…

Methodology

Sports-specific comparison page for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi or Manifold.

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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