Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% XLG Gaming | 100% EDward Gaming |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% XLG Gaming | 0% EDward Gaming |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs XLG Gaming (+2.5) | 0% EDward Gaming | 100% XLG Gaming |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
XLG Gaming and EDward Gaming are scheduled to meet in the upper bracket semifinal of VCT Masters London on 15 June at 10:00 AM ET, with the winner advancing directly to the grand final. The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or a technical issue with market initialisation, as both teams have demonstrated competitive capability at international Masters events.
EDward Gaming enters as the higher-seeded team based on regular season performance and has maintained roster stability through the VCT season. XLG Gaming qualified for Masters London but faced inconsistent results in the lead-up, with roster adjustments affecting team cohesion. Historical precedent suggests that upper bracket semifinals at Masters events frequently produce upsets when the lower-seeded team has recently resolved internal issues or secured a key player return. The gap between these two rosters is narrower than the current probability suggests, particularly if either team has made tactical adjustments during the tournament's group stage.
Traders should monitor official VCT announcements regarding any last-minute roster changes or player availability issues in the 48 hours before the match. Schedule delays are possible given the tournament's compressed format, though VCT has historically maintained fixture integrity at Masters events. Recent form during the London group stage will provide the most reliable signal—teams that won convincingly against top-four opposition typically carry momentum into knockout rounds. Any coaching staff changes or tactical shifts flagged by tournament broadcasters during pre-match analysis should be weighted accordingly, as these often precede performance swings in best-of-three formats.
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Sport Prediction — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Sport Prediction, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Sport Prediction triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Ma… on Sport Prediction
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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