Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sport Prediction Pick polygram.ink |
37% | 63% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
37% | 63% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Sport Prediction → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Sport Prediction.
Active sub-markets
| Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% Over 2.5 | 64% Under 2.5 |
| Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro | 36% Eva Lys | 65% Emma Navarro |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 21% Lys | 80% Navarro |
| Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 44% Navarro | 56% Lys |
| Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro Match O/U 22.5 | 41% Over | 60% Under |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 37% probability to bad homburg open: eva lys vs emma navarro. This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lys and Emma Navarro in the Bad Homburg Open, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Lys' if Eva Lys …
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Sport Prediction is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Sport Prediction?
- Zero. Sport Prediction routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma Navarro on Sport Prediction
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